E: Those Globes are tricky, all right. They never do what you expect. One movie I assumed was a drama, the Hollywood Foreign Press didn’t. Several times, they considered someone lead who’d been campaigned as supporting, and vice versa. They had a couple nominations that totally surprised, and a lot of omissions. But hey, it’s still good times. Let the party begin!
Best Actor – Comedy:
I guessed: Steve Carrell, Crazy Stupid Love; Matt Damon, We Bought A Zoo;Jean DuJardin, The Artist;Paul Giamatti, Win/Win;Ewan McGregor, Beginners
If not: Joseph Gordon-Levitt, 50/50; Owen Wilson, Midnight in Paris; Johnny Depp, Pirates of the Caribbean
They nominated: Jean Dujardin, The Artist; Brendan Gleeson, The Guard; Ryan Gosling, Crazy, Stupid, Love;Joseph Gordon-Levitt, 50/50;Owen Wilson, Midnight in Paris.
Well, that was terrible! The comedy categories usually kill me, but this was even worse than usual. At least two of the nominees were on my alternate list! I’ve never even heard of Gleeson’s movie. It’s funny; Ryan Gosling is having an exceptional year. While I didn’t see the movie, it does seem clear that Gosling’s in a supporting role and that the movie is largely about Steve Carrell’s character. And I also think it’s going to be a tough slog for him to get an Oscar nomination. But. It’s about time the powers that be started paying attention to the superlative work fans and critics have been seeing for so long! Hey, Boy, you did good today.
Best Actor – Drama:
I Said: George Clooney, The Descendants;Leonardo DiCaprio, J. Edgar; Michael Fassbender, Shame; Woody Harrelson, Rampart; Brad Pitt, Money Ball
If not: Ryan Gosling, Drive or The Ides of March; Thomas Horn, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close; Gary Oldman, Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy; Michael Shannon, Take Shelter; Viggo Mortensen, A Dangerous Method
They Nominated: George Clooney, The Descendants;Leonardo DiCaprio, J. Edgar; Michael Fassbender, Shame; Ryan Gosling, The Ides of March; Brad Pitt, Money Ball
I did much better here – only one off, and that one heading my alternate list. In a moment of awkwardness, Woody Harrelson had been invited to read the nominations. When Gerard Butler finished reading this list, Woody called out “are you sure you didn’t miss one?” and Butler pretended to find something. But of course Drama is generally a more predictable category; these are the Oscar contenders, and we know in advance whose in real contention.
Best Actress – Comedy
I Said: Mila Kunis, Friends With Benefits; Rachel McAdams, Midnight in Paris;Julianne Moore, Crazy Stupid Love;Charlize Theron, Young Adult;Kristen Wiig, Bridesmaids
If Not: Penelope Cruz, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides; Noomi Rapace, Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows
They Nominated: Jodi Foster, Carnage; Charlize Theron, Young Adult;Kristin Wiig, Bridesmaids;Michelle Williams, My Week With Marilyn; Kate Winslet, Carnage.
So, okay. Clearly I bombed here too, for two main reasons. The HFP decided to put Foster and Winslet as leads instead of supporting. And they also considered My Week With Marilyn a comedy, which I had placed below in Drama. Foster and Winslet fit their Big Star passion, and Williams was going to be nominated somewhere for her acclaimed turn as Marilyn Monroe. She strikes me as the likeliest winner, which makes being in Comedy rather than Drama a nice boost for her.
Best Actress – Drama:
I Said: Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs; Viola Davis, The Help; Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady; Tilda Swinton, We Need To Talk About Kevin; Michelle Williams, My Week With Marilyn
If Not: Kirsten Dunst, Melancholia; Felicity Jones, Like Crazy; Keira Knightley, A Dangerous Method; Rooney Mara, The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo; Elizabeth Olsen, Martha Marcy May Marlene; Emma Stone, The Help
They Nominated: Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs; Viola Davis, The Help; Rooney Mara, The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo; Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady; Tilda Swinton, We Need To Talk About Kevin
Again, one of my alternates swapped out for a lead, but this time because I put Williams in the wrong category. Well enough. The biggest question going forward from here is whether Swinton is a lock, or if Theron, Mara or even Olsen can sneak in to take her slot.
I said: Albert Brooks, Drive; Tom Hanks, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close;Christopher Plummer, Beginners;Brad Pitt, The Tree of Life;Max Von Sydow, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
If not: Kenneth Branagh, My Week With Marilyn; George Clooney, The Ides of March; Armie Hammer, J.Edgar; Jonah Hill, Moneyball; Jeremy Irons, Margin Call; Patton Oswalt, Young Adult; John C. Reilly, Carnage; Kevin Spacey, Margin Call; Christoph Waltz, Carnage
They Nominated: Kenneth Branagh, My Week With Marilyn; Albert Brooks, Drive; Jonah Hill, Moneyball; Viggo Mortensen, A Dangerous Method; Christopher Plummer, Beginners
So much for everyone assuming Max Von Sydow was a given; he didn’t get a SAG nomination, either, the combination of which has surely has lessened his Oscar chances. Mortensen I’m certain was being campaigned as a lead; I’m always happy to see him get the attention his work deserves, however. With incredible reluctance, I’m admitting Jonah Hill has to be taken seriously, though I’m still betting he’s going to be this year’s Andrew Garfield, touted everywhere but Oscar. I should have called Branagh, though, and not been blinded by Hanks’ star power. It seems the Hollywood Foreign Press really didn’t like Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close at all. Bad day for that film and cast.
Well, okay. I swear to you I will be better at this come the Oscars!
I Said: Sandra Bullock, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close; Melissa McCarthy, Bridesmaids;Olivia Spencer, The Help;Shailene Woodley, The Descendants;Vanessa Redgrave, Coriolanus
If not: Berenice Bejo, The Artist; Jessica Chastain, The Help/Tree of Life; Jody Foster, Carnage; Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs; Chloe Grace Moretz, Hugo; Kate Winslet, Carnage
They Nominated: Berenice Bejo, The Artist; Jessica Chastain, The Help; Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs; Octavia Spencer, The Help; Shailene Woodley, The Descendants
Ryan Gosling isn’t the only one having a banner year; Jessica Chastain gets her nod as well. The cast of ELAIC, not so much. I’m a little surprised that McCarthy didn’t get a nod here. She did get one from SAG, though, so it’ll be interesting to see if her Oscar chances are dead or not. It’s very unusual for Oscar to reward such broad comedy, and this would have been a great help in her campaign for a nomination. Vanessa Redgrave too suffers a blow in her campaign, perhaps a fatal one after being left off the SAG shortlist. Janet McTeer, on the other hand, is doing just fine. Shailene Woodley missed out on a SAG nom; it’ll be fascinating to see who ends up on the final list, but we have a pretty good idea which 6 or 7 women are in the hunt.
Best Picture, Musical or Comedy:
I Said: The Artist; Bridesmaids; Midnight in Paris;We Bought A Zoo;Young Adult
If not: 50/50, Carnage, Crazy Stupid Love, The Muppets, Win/Win
They Nominated: 50/50; The Artist; Bridesmaids; Midnight in Paris; My Week With Marilyn
And My Week With Marilyn comes back to bite me yet again. We Bought a Zoo is totally shut out. Woody Allen does well, and The Artist and Bridesmaids, as I expected. The Artist and Midnight in Paris expect to contend in the confused race for somewhere between 5 and 10 Best Picture slots; The Artist has to be considered a lock. With a SAG ensemble nod under its belt as well, could Bridesmaids actually compete on the biggest stage? It’s not so likely (too broad), but there’s no denying it’s a good, good week for the funny women who made and starred in this movie.s
Best Picture, Drama:
I Said: The Descendants, The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo, The Help, Hugo, Moneyball
If not: Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2, The Ides of March, The Tree of Life, War Horse
They Nominated: The Descendants, The Help, Hugo, The Ides of March, Moneyball, War Horse
See, I said they sometimes added extra nominees. And this year Oscar could follow suit! These are all exciting movies, the cream of the crop. I’m a little surprised (though pleased) to see The Ides of March included here, and even more surprised (though I probably shouldn’t be, given their love of celebrity) to learn that George Clooney was nominated for Best Director for it. I’m happy to see Hugo made the list, and surprised that Mara got their attention but not her movie. We’re looking more and more like The Artist and The Descendants will win their respective categories and then square off for Oscar.
Harry Potter is dead; long live Harry Potter! I can’t see he has any chance at Oscar now.
Finally, on the television side, I was sorry to see only Julianna Margulies nominated from The Good Wife, but excited about all the new blood – Homeland and it’s stars, The New Girl, Boss, American Horror Story, Game of Thrones, The Killing, Necessary Roughness, Suits – it’s nice to see new names when the Emmy awards are often so boring and stagnant. I’m particularly thrilled that British television and PBS are so well represented in the movies – Downton Abbey, Page Either, Luther and my favorite piece of short form television of the year, The Hour. Cheers to Dominic West, Romola Garai, Bill Nighy, Idris Elba, Hugh Bonneville, Elizabeth McGovern, Maggie Smith and also old favorites Claire Danes, Damien Lewis, Zooey Deschanel, Peter Dinklage and Madeline Stowe (even if she’s not really the lead of Revenge). Congratulations!